Publikation International / Transnational - War / Peace - North Africa The Aftermath of the Aggression on Gaza

Possible Future Scenarios. By Tayseer Muheisen, Gaza.

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Tayseer Muheisen,

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September 2014

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In the past six years, Israel has launched three wars on the Gaza Strip in the context of a continued stifling siege. This siege has always had the same stated goals: preventing the flow of arms and military equipment to Hamas, preventing smuggling of weaponry into Gaza, and guarantees from Hamas to cease rocket fire. In reality, any strategic expert, knowledgeable of comprehensive facts related to the military capacities of Israel and the huge gap between the Israeli Defense Force (IDF) and armed Palestinian factions in the Gaza Strip, cannot easily answer the question on whether Israel is capable of resolving the matter in military terms or if Israel has other goals and objectives beyond the siege, which it does not disclose, but instead it invokes the flimsy security argument. If so, what are these goals? Will Israel be able to achieve these goals through its recent operation, entitled Operation Protective Edge, or will it again fail to achieve its stated goals? Based on that, what are the expected scenarios of this unprecedented war in its ferocity, the magnitude of its devastation, and the number of civilian casualties, which have exceeded 2,000 martyrs and more than ten thousand injuries, many of whom will suffer permanent disabilities?


Tayseer Mohisen is an active politician who lives in Gaza and works in the NGO sector. He is an acting member at the political Bureau of the Palestinian People’s Party (PPP), and a well-known writer and political analyst. Mr. Mohisen has lost many of his friends and colleagues during the three Israeli military aggressions on Gaza that took place in the past eight years. During this recent aggression (2014), he also lost his house.

The production of this paper was completed during the last two weeks of August 2014, while the aggression was still in action.